Turquia na União Europeia?

Artigo de Joshua Livestro no TCS:

Nobody in Brussels really believes a No to Turkish membership is still a possibility, even though a free vote in the Council would probably show an overwhelming majority against (after the Helsinki summit, one participant observed that 13 out of 15 member states present were opposed to Turkish membership but that combined German and American pressure was enough to override their objections).

Negotiations between now and December are therefore likely to focus not on the decision itself (it has effectively been taken already) but on the eventual date of entry. The Turks want a quick conclusion of negotiations in time for entry in 2009, but they are unlikely to get that. The betting is on 2014, probably with several review moments in the negotiations, allowing for further postponement, possibly even to 2019. It may take a few Christmases, but eventually Turkey will become a member for life.